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    Thread: balut's trading journal

    1. #1361
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      Quote Originally Posted by Oriakhiebillz View Post
      Canadian dollar has strengthened for the past few weeks after the CPI m/m and retail sales m/m release of last week favouring it, as a result usdcad is on a down trend and its currently hanging on a support on 1.2752 which we can see from the picture above, we could see how price has come back to test the support and mostly likely it is going to break off and usdcad will surge down further.
      Yet again, Usd/cad bounced off support and looks to be heading back up to its previous highs at 1.8290 area which lines up with the wide range resistance. Also the mid range area around 1.8220 are should be watched closely in case bulls do not gave enough momentum to push the pair higher.


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    3. #1362
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      Quote Originally Posted by Omoba9ce View Post
      Yet again, Usd/cad bounced off support and looks to be heading back up to its previous highs at 1.8290 area which lines up with the wide range resistance. Also the mid range area around 1.8220 are should be watched closely in case bulls do not gave enough momentum to push the pair higher.
      Personally, I have not traded the USDCAD for a while now due to the fact that it is in a range and my trading system is not good one for trading in a raging market and it most of the times leads to series of losses and I can never be able to bear it anymore! But we could wait for a clear understanding of what is happening with this pair in order to start trading it than being in a hurry to trade and keep on losing money.


      Name:  chart217.png
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      Wisdom Is The Ability To Apply Knowledge And Experience To Any Given Situation.
      If you do not take control of your risks then you lose control of your trades


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    5. #1363
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      Quote Originally Posted by Omoba9ce View Post
      Yet again, Usd/cad bounced off support and looks to be heading back up to its previous highs at 1.8290 area which lines up with the wide range resistance. Also the mid range area around 1.8220 are should be watched closely in case bulls do not gave enough momentum to push the pair higher.
      Yes or looks like the usdcad is trying to range for a while, because on the daily time frame it's finding support at 1.2735 and resistance at 1.2920 but how long this will last we need know, any trader that buy the trade from the support would have been on good profit by now, I think it could still for for the resistance hopefully. And the overall trend is still bullish


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    7. #1364
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      Quote Originally Posted by penuelophir View Post
      Personally, I have not traded the USDCAD for a while now due to the fact that it is in a range and my trading system is not good one for trading in a raging market and it most of the times leads to series of losses and I can never be able to bear it anymore! But we could wait for a clear understanding of what is happening with this pair in order to start trading it than being in a hurry to trade and keep on losing money.


      Attachment 77777
      Definitely this pair now moving on range, in this situation some trader can get more benefit and some trader are not, i am also not good on range market, because most of the time i use my trade for longer time, i am still avoiding to use this pair, however currently i like to use eurjpy pair and today i have make some good profit from this pair.


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    9. #1365
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      TRADE UPDATE:

      Look at that! AUDJPY is still dropping but I believe that this is only a retracement or profit taking of bulls. The Ichimoku cloud is currently in play and trying to hold the bullish momentum, I think as long as the 82.70 support is intact then there's nothing to worry for bulls. This week and next week has almost no high impact fundamental news for both AUD & JPY so it's all about technical analysis.



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    10. The following 14 users say Thank You to balut for this useful post.

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    11. #1366
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      Hey brother balut, I don't think you should consider this as a retracement because what is happening right now is correlation taking real effect, just check what is happening in gbp jpy, the pair is falling because of gu which means that aud jpy is also replicating that, I will advise that you lock in profit or exit manually for now and wait to buy at the bottom again when it starts to rise, that will pay you more than merely believing that it is a retracement which might not be true.


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    13. #1367
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      Aud jpy might find a support at 82.17 but I am not sure if it will hold as long as this present crash in the price of the major pairs continues, there must have been something really big that triggered this action in price movement, you see this is why we need money management constantly, I can bet that many people have already lost the bonus that was credited two days ago as a result of this movement in price.


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    15. #1368
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      Aud JPY was able to go as low as 82.47, it is trying to consolidate now and from the 200 moving average, it is seating on it from 4hr time frame so I believe that this pull back might take the pair upwards because if this present candlestick in the four hour ends as a pin bar off the moving average, there is a possibility that price might shoot all the way back to 84.32, the overall trend is still bullish from daily time frame for now.


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    17. #1369
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      Quote Originally Posted by Omoba9ce View Post
      Yet again, Usd/cad bounced off support and looks to be heading back up to its previous highs at 1.8290 area which lines up with the wide range resistance. Also the mid range area around 1.8220 are should be watched closely in case bulls do not gave enough momentum to push the pair higher.
      Well, the point you quoted for the USDCAD is not correctly i believe that you actually made mistake on that regard. I am also sharing the same view with you, the dollar is so strong now, and the matrket that will fight it for now will try so hard. I think that the risk aversion is back in the market with full force, traders should get ready for more advancing to the upside for this pair. I am certain that it might be fluctuating for a while, because the crude oil is rising for now, this is giving the CAD a list in most cases.


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    19. #1370
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      Usd cad is set for 1.2982, since the previous resistance at 1.2880 or thereabouts has been conveniently destroyed, now there seems not to be anything that is standing in the way now particularly with the strength that we see the dollar index demonstrating, let's remember the FOMC, it could change the course of the market abruptly.


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