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    Thread: [Overview] How to predict price movements in the Forex market.

    1. #11
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      Default Re: How to predict price movements in the Forex market?

      you can use technical analysis and fundamenatal.
      about technical analysis have two way it is price action method and indicator
      price action have two type method it is candlestick pattern and chart pattern,
      about candlestick pattern it is about a body shape of it and and every shape have characteristic the most candlestick pattern are used by trader is pin bar and engulfing the both will give a strong signal.
      and about chart pattern it is a combination formation of candlestick and will give a sign price movement want to make a bullish or bearish this is will created not on the trend but when price make consolidation to determine to make continues trend or reversal.
      and about indicator there are so many indicator and we can combine the both. i use method price action and i combine with fibonacci retracement, why i use fibonacci lines as a levels support and resistance.
      about fundamental this is might it called trading news and you should always give attention about news and not all news it's good but only news with high impact.


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    3. #12
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      Default Re: How to predict price movements in the Forex market?

      if we talk about how we can predict or analyze the price movement in forex market we will have 2 ways that every trader agree with, we can predict the movement of forex market by using fundamental analysis, technical analysis or combination of both fundamental and also technical analysis.

      Fundamental analysis is a method of evaluating a security in an attempt to assess it's intrinsic value by examining related economic,financial,social,politics and other qualitative and quantitative factor that effect it's value.it can be done by monitoring the news released such as NFP,etc

      Technical analysis is a trading discipline employed to evaluate investment and identify trading opportunities by analysing statistical trend gathered from trading activity such as price movement and volumes.
      it can be done by analysing the indicator we placed in the meta trader chart or by using a price action method.


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      Default Re: How to predict price movements in the Forex market?

      The difference between successful and unsuccessful Forex traders is that the successful traders know how to predict price movement very well.A trader must know the factors that controls the Forex market factors that can affect a currency exchange rate, we must also be quick to state that there is no ultimate formula that we use in predicting price movement.Only experienced and skillful traders can be able to predict the price movement accurate,the factors we need to understand are :

      1. INTEREST RATE

      2.IMPORTS AND EXPORTS.

      3.MONETARY POLICY

      4 POLITICAL STABILITY

      5.ECONOMIC GROWTH.

      If you are a Forex trader you will understands that all these are fundamental factors the ability of a trader to trail all events both micro and macro factors the higher the chances of the trader getting his predictions right.To track this event we use the Forex calendar as a rule every Forex trader must have the market calendar for the week in his head.

      TRENDS.
      One very important aspect of trading we can not overlook if we want to be able to predict the price very accurately is the trend.The trend is the general direction of the market.Trends vary in length from short term to long term ,but in order to make good price prediction we must take note of .

      1 UPTREND

      2 DOWNTREND

      3 SIDEWAYS.

      In sideways trend the price is neither appreciating or depreciating it is best to stay out of the market during this period, as a matter of fact this is the period when a lot of traders lose their money . The trend is part of the second aspect of market analysis which helps in price prediction it is called TECHNICAL ANALYSIS. Technical analysis helps us to predict future price movement by thoroughly examining past market data.The idea is that history may repeat itself in predictable patterns.
      Being able to predict the market is not an easy task it requires constant analysis of the market,both technical and fundamental and we need good skill to exploit different kinds of approaches if we are serious and dedicated we should be able to achieve it.


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    7. #14
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      Default Re: How to predict price movements in the Forex market?

      Currency movement is highly volatile. But it is not a random movement but has a basis and "trends" can be predicted in advance. if These expectations are true, means huge profits

      There are several ways to predict the price movement which is called the price movement analysis
      The analysis is to examine the price movement for a while ago. so we can conclude the possibility of future direction. The future direction of a currency is no more than three possibilities
      †Rises
      Or declining
      Or move sideways at the same price levels
      You can not expect a person to react not to a certain position. But if you know the previous active responses and the different positions, you can and with a high degree of precision expect future reaction to a position
      Hence, it is important to study the types of market analysis so that you have a correct basis for predicting the movement of a price in the future

      The most famous types of currency analysis are

      Fundamental Analysis
      The analysis of the causes of price change, which is mainly used by economists, is the main method of analysis in large, large-scale financial institutions that target investment with a relatively long time span ranging from a few days to more.

      Technical Analysis
      The main type of price analysis is the most widely used method by individual traders and small account holders looking for small gains and in short periods ranging from a few minutes to a few days


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    9. #15
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      Default Re: [Overview] How to predict price movements in the Forex market.

      Price movement can be well predicted with the sound knowledge of fundamental and technical analysis. With the technical analysis, one should have a developed strategy with the use of price action and indicators (which could be in the category of trend,oscillator or volume) and if well tested and produced results in terms of profits on a consistent basis then one is sure of being able to predict the direction of the market. In addition to this fundamental analysis involve studying the effect of different news such as interest rates, NFP, housing starts, unemployment rates and so on on different pairs. In all these the place of understanding and the application of market psychology should not be ignored


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      Default Re: [Overview] How to predict price movements in the Forex market.

      The reason why we have trading strategies is so that we can use this to predict where price is headed, that is the major requirements for technical analysis, there are many tools that we can use for this purpose, some people use trend lines, other people make use of the support and resistance while many traders use one indicator or another depending on the type of trading they want to do.

      Sometimes, people even prefer to trade without any indicator because they are price action traders who wants to use the pure pride movement to predict where it will go next, this last strategy is a lot of work because you must engage in the demo account to practice very well before deployment into the live account.


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    12. #17
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      Default Re: [Overview] How to predict price movements in the Forex market.

      In turn, those patterns, produced by movements in price, are called Forex signals. This is the goal of technical analysis - is to uncover current signals of a market by inspecting past Forex market signals. This may help traders perform daily Forex predictions. In addition, prices move in trends

      ---------- Post added at 10:21 PM ---------- Previous post was at 09:25 PM ----------

      How to predict price movements in the Forex market.
      What is the key to success? Each trader and investor asks themselves such a question and looks for an answer.
      The main thing in the Forex market is the ability to predict the price movements and make a profit in the market. How to predict these movements? Using what tools? Is it possible to learn to predict?
      If you struggle for a long time, you will get a result.
      To become a successful trader you need to understand: in the Forex market, a trader must learn to recognize and understand the factors that may affect the currency price change.
      How to predict this movement and get profit at the same time?
      There are some rules. You must watch for things like economic growth in the world, geopolitics and political stability, monetary policy, import/export, interest rates and so on.

      If you painstakingly follow all the events of the micro and macro economies, you have a much higher chance of success in your forecasts. But it is not easy, especially at the very start in such thing as trading.

      1) You must learn to recognize the trend.
      This is exactly what is useful when forecasting on the Forex market, since the trend or general direction of the market price is important when opening and closing positions.
      Depending on duration, trends can be classified into short-term trends, medium-term trends or long-term trends. If the general trend of the Forex market is moving up, you must be careful and attentive when making decisions based on a trend that goes in a completely opposite direction. The trend can also be applied to interest rates, stocks, indices and any other market that may be characterized by volume or price movement.

      2) You need to recognize the three main types of trend. They are uptrends, downtrends and sideways trends.
      If the trend moves upwards relative to the chart, then the currency price rises and vice versa with the downtrend.

      Types of the Forex market analysis.
      In fact, there are many methods of analyzing the Forex market.
      Analysis is done in order to identify the best trading opportunities for taking profits from the market.

      Fundamental analysis.
      It is based on fundamental factors, such as gross domestic product, inflation, economic growth and production. Therefore, it is necessary to study the economy of different countries in order to have complete information about the impact of geopolitical and economic events on the market.
      How to predict the market? Economists have created an economic calendar, where you can see daily forecasts for various economic events with all the data included.
      Usually, the data is dedicated to interest rates, employment situation, budgets, trade balances, treasury budgets, GDP and so on.

      If a country raises its interest rate, then its national currency becomes strongerĢ Then investors put their assets into the country in order to get high profits.

      Rising unemployment is a sign of weak economic growth, which ultimately can lead to lower interest rates. This can negatively affect its currency. A country with a significant trade deficit is likely to have a weak currency. GDP is the main indicator of the economic activity strength. There is a link between the high GDP and expectations of higher interest rates, which refers to positive factors for the chosen currency.

      How can a trader use all of the above to predict the market movement? First, always save the economic calendar. You also need to know which indicator of the forecast draws the most attention, because it will eventually become a catalyst for future price movements in the Forex market. And finally, pay attention to the news changes - the market situation may change very rapidly.

      Technical analysis
      The technical analysis is used to determine the price behavior in the future based on historical data. The idea is that the story can be repeated. In turn, these patterns, caused by movement in price, are called signals. The technical analysis purpose is to identify the current signals by checking past signals in the Forex market. This can help traders make daily Forex forecasts. In addition, prices are moving along trends. Technical analysts tend to believe that price fluctuations are not random. Once a certain type of trend has been formed, it will remain for a certain period of time.

      Forex traders can use volume charts, price charts, and other mathematical representations of market data (hereinafter referred to as studies) to locate the perfect entry and exit points. This is what can help a trader to learn how to predict the changes in the Forex market.

      Some of these studies help identify a trend, while others help determine the strength and stability of this trend over time. Technical analysis can increase discipline and reduce the influence of emotions in your trading plan. It can be quite difficult to track down fundamental influences and stick to entry and exit points according to your plan. Despite the fact that the system is not perfect, technical analysis gives you everything you need for daily analysis and Forex forecasting, and allows you to more objectively evaluate your trading plan.

      Now is the time to determine the technical types of indicators. The first one is trend. These indicators provide smooth price data, so that a constant upward, downward or sideways trend can be seen without extra effort. The second indicator is trend strength. This type of indicator characterizes the intensity of the market at a certain price, studying positions in the foreign exchange market, taken by different market participants. The base of this indicators is volume or open interest. The next indicator is volatility, which refers to the magnitude of daily price fluctuations. Despite the trend direction, changes in volatility are expected to be equal to price changes. Then we have cycle indicators. They identify recurring patterns in the Forex market from recurring events, such as elections. The cycle forecast indicator determines the moment of a particular Forex market model. Resistance and support are equally important indicators. They describe price levels, where markets often rise or fall. Finally, the last indicator is momentum. These indicators determine whether a trend will be strong or weak after it progresses over a certain period of time. The impulse is the highest at the start of the trend and the lowest when it changes.


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      Default Re: [Overview] How to predict price movements in the Forex market.

      You cannot predict price movement accurately, the truth of the matter is that our indicator can be cannot tell us about the direction that price is expected to navigate especially when we make use of the oscillator which sometimes does not have any movement independently, forex is difficult that is the main cause for the more failure to succeed lack of discipline in the use of whatever indicator that we have found for ourselves. Whenever we want to predict and the accuracy is not there because we are impatient, losses is what we are likely to encounter as a result of this, there had to be room for margin of error that is also the main purpose for the stop loss which acts to correct us in situations where the market does not behave as we have expected.


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      Default Re: [Overview] How to predict price movements in the Forex market.

      Forex market is so much uncertain. The movement of the market is really tough to understand but by using various ways trader try to predict the market. Now I am sharing my trading view.i am a price action trader like to trade with price action trading strategy. I do not follow any indicator. I analysis my chart with various tools. Horizontal support resistance, trendline , channel, Fibonacci , are my favorite tools for trading. When the market comes in a value area I like to trade from here. But candle confirmation is the key to open my trade. By using this tools I make prediction for trading. This system helps me lot to predict the market well. Most of time I get good result. I am happy with this trading system.


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      Default Re: [Overview] How to predict price movements in the Forex market.

      As a trader our major objective is to make analysis and not make prediction of where the price will head towards, this is why we have every tools available for us to make analysis in the Forex market. am sure by now we have every we know there are only three types of analysis in the Forex trading market which are
      technical analysis, fundamental analysis, and sentimental analysis, this three ways are ways in which we can analyse the price movement, and the possible future direction.
      but most trader analyse the market via technical chart because its the most effective way to make good profit.
      But we shouldn't have the habit of just predicting the market direction without analyzing the market.


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