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Thread: Financial caricatures by MT5 portal

  1. #451 Collapse Post
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    Australia Warns About Coming “Eurogeddon”
    Long Eurozone debt crisis, recession increase and banking system instability will lead to a “Eurogeddon”. Agence France-Presse reports that such statement is contained in the research of Australian economic consulting group Deloitte-Access Economics (which also renders advisory opinion to the Australian Government).
    The survey shows that “Eurogeddon” may be the same shattering as the financial drop of 2008-2009 and it will be deepened by lower attention from authorities. According to the experts at Deloitte-Access Economics, this time the authorities make much less actions directed to risk reduction than 3 years ago. In particular, the countries cut their foreign debts too slowly.
    The consulting group put the euro destiny issue on top for handling in 2012. This year due to recessionary occurrences the demand for goods, raw and energy sources is to change for worse sharply, including for coal and steel.
    The organization experts consider China to be the most suffered country from the European recession, its demand downturn is to shrink the population income and the state budget.
    The word “Eurogeddon” came into general use in the 4th quarter 2011 in blogs and financial press. Economists use it at euro crash or at a huge recession within the Eurozone which is to result in lower growth paces in other regions.

    Yours faithfully,
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    of the international traders' portal MT5.com.


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    Iranian Rial Falls 10% after EU Sanctions Imposition
    Iranian rial fell in price by 10% during the trading session on January 23 after sanctions imposition by the European Union against the Islamic Republic, Reuters says. EU sanctions are to reduce oil and oil products export from Iran substantially, as a consequence, the pressure on rial will increase.
    Presently, one dollar equals 20500 rials in Iran. For the last week dollar has gained 15% versus rial and more than 50% for month. The Union announced about its decision to impose sanctions against Iran earlier on January 23.
    In addition to import blocking, the case in hand is about freezing the Iranian Central bank assets and gold trade shut off with the country and other government entities. At present, in black market rial has been by almost 80% lower than its official rate. For preventing dollar speculations the government has prohibited currency trading out of specially equipped spots where it can monitor the rate.
    Iran is the world’s fifth oil exporter. About a one fourth of its export is now delivered to Europe.

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    of the international traders' portal MT5.com.


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    Iran offers India to pay for oil in yen
    Iran has asked India to pay for oil partly in the Japanese yen. Bloomberg reports that such actions were taken to protect India and Iran’s relations ahead of tightening economic sanctions of the USA and EU against Tehran.
    After India has offered the rupee payments, Iran, in its turn, announced it could accept the yen. As the rupee is not fully convertible currency, Iran has some concerns about its free exchange at high rate. India has not responded to the initiative of Iran.
    Now India pays Tehran in the US dollars and the euro through the Turkish intermediary bank, Turkiye Halk Bankasi. According to Bloomberg sources, at the beginning of 2012 the financial organization announced its inability to fulfill its obligations. Iran supplies India with oil for 9.5 billion dollars a year.
    November 20 the Japanese Foreign Minister Koichiro Gemba said that Japan had asked the US Administration to allow Japanese banks to deal with Iran. The United States have promised to sanction “carefully”.
    The USA and EU have already imposed sanctions against Iran expressing their negative opinion about its nuclear programme. January 23 it is became known that the European Union had agreed to put an embargo on Iranian oil import.
    Bloomberg notes that during the last 12 months the rupee has decreased by 9.1%. It is the worst tendency among all the Asian currencies. At the same time, the yen has risen by 7.2% showing one of the best results on the market. Thus, Iran would benefit from yen reserves compared to rupee.

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    Probability of Portuguese Default Estimated at 71%
    Portuguese CDSs hit a record high, The Financial Times informs. Insuring 10 million euros in bonds over five years requires 3.95 million euros payable now, which makes the probability of the country’s default equal to 71%.
    The rates of Portuguese bonds have also been on increase. The 10-year Portuguese bonds were trading 26 basis points higher at 15.54%, and the 5-year ones were yielding 21.44%.
    One of the reasons for pessimistic investors’ sentiment is said to be a lack of progress in negotiations on Greek debt restructuring. Market participants expect that in case Greece defaults Portugal may default as well.
    On January 13, the Standard & Poor's agency was the last of the Troika to downgrade the rating of Portugal to the “junk” status. This step was followed by accelerated growth in Portuguese bond rates which had been already rather high. Owing to its extremely high-yield bonds, Portugal does not have the opportunity to borrow on the open market anymore and can only rely on external aid.
    It should be noted that earlier Italy succeeded in holding an auction. The rates of 10-year bonds fell to 6.08%, which is however much higher than the data that had been registered up to August 2011, when the European debt crisis exacerbated unexpectedly.

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    Iran to Retaliate to EU Sanctions
    Iran is planning to halt oil supply to countries threatening to impose economic sanctions against the Islamic Republic. Reuters informs that this announcement was made by Iran's Oil Minister Rostam Qasemi who hinted that Tehran would fight sanctions with sanctions. “Iranian oil has its own market, even if we cut our exports to Europe,” Qasemi said. However he neither specified to which countries exactly oil exports will be disrupted nor when Tehran will impose sanctions against the EU: “Soon we will cut exporting oil to some countries”. According to the agency, Iran’s Parliament was supposed to discuss the relevant measures on Sunday, January 29, but the debate on a proposed halt to crude sales to the EU was postponed.
    The EU countries agreed Iranian oil embargo on January 23. The embargo implies banning the crude oil from Iran. All the existing contracts are to be ended by July 1, 2012.
    This decision is a response to the report made by the IAEA considering that Tehran is secretly pursuing a weapons programme despite claiming that it is peaceful. The European states made an attempt to talk other countries into imposing similar sanctions against Iran, yet failed to achieve any positive results. So, on January 30 India said it would do whatever it takes to buy the Iranian oil.
    Iran supplies about 20% of its oil to Europe with its main importers being Greece, Spain and Italy. In mid January Saudi Arabia expressed its readiness to boost the volume of exported oil products, if buyers need it.

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    Trader refused to admit his guilt in USD 2 bln loss
    The former UBS trader Kweku Adoboli refused to plead guilty in making unauthorized deals that led the Swiss Bank to GBP 1.2 bln loss (more than USD 2 bln), as the Agence France-Presse reports. Moreover, Adoboli refused to acknowledge his guilt in fraud and false accounting charges.
    Adoboli was arrested in the middle of September. He was taken into custody after the conversation with the UBS employees concerning the fraud. As Bloomberg reports, during the preliminary hearings held in September, a 31-years-old trader stated that he regrets about his “terrible mistakes”.
    Apparently, Adoboli refused to plead guilty due to the fact that his defence strategy was changed. In December the trader changed his legal representation and hired London law firm Bark & Co to defend him. His new defence lawyer Paul Garlick said that the former lawyers were not able to ensure Adoboli’s proper defence.
    The legal proceedings against Adoboli are expected to start in September and will take over 8 weeks.
    The UBS lost over GBP 1.3 bln from unauthorized trading in S&P 500, DAX and EuroStoxx index futures. According to the prosecution, Adoboli’s operations fell under suspicion after the request of data concerning the execution of several deals. Also Adoboli was asked whether he had contacted the credit risk department or not. As the bank states, Adoboli said he had not. UBS also asked the trader to confirm the counteragents. This request was ignored as well. After this Adoboli left the office, came home and sent a letter to the bank describing the opened positions.

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    of the international traders' portal MT5.com.


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    Cyprus gets a billion euro from Russia
    Russia and Cyprus signed another 1.32 billion euro loan tranche agreement. It was reported in the official press-release of the Finance Ministry of Cyprus.
    The total amount of credit that Russia had agreed to give Cyprus is 2.5 billion euro. The first tranche was sent to the republic at the end of December 2011. The second and the third ones will be sent in March 2012, according to the Ministry.
    Cyprus plans to spend Russian money to refinance the bond debts. The credit was given to Cyprus on the special terms: 4.5% annually with the opportunity of early redemption. At the same time, the total amount of credit exceeds 10% of Cypriot GDP.
    Cyprus which economy is closely correlated with the Greek ones became one of the victims of eurozone debt crisis. Meanwhile, the European Commission refused to grant Cyprus the financial aid as the one that had given to Greece before.

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    Sarkozy promised to impose financial transaction tax
    As Bloomberg reports, France is expected to impose the financial transaction tax irrespective of the position of other European states on the subject, the President Nicolas Sarkozy said. According to his statement, from August 2012 the 0.1% tax on the turnover of financial organizations will be imposed. The tax is expected to raise 1 billion euro annually, he says. As Sakozy stated, the imposition of the tax is aimed at cutting the French budget deficit. Moreover, the income from the tax will be used for creating jobs and boosting the economic growth. Earlier Sarkozy said that the sales tax will be increased by 1.6 percentage points (up to 21.2%) in order to shrink the deficit. The exact date of the tax imposing was not announced.
    No country has implemented the financial transaction tax yet. The imposition of the Tobin tax (named after the Nobel Laureate who was the first to suggest the currency transaction tax in order to support the developing countries) was proposed by Germany as early as in 2009. In 2011 the EU countries came back to this idea. Particularly Jose Manuel Barroso supported the idea of the Tobin tax implementation. The main opponent of the new tax is Great Britain. English authorities are against the implementation of the tax unless it is imposed not only in the EU but globally.
    On Thursday, January 26 the prime minister of Great Britain David Cameron encouraged the European states to refrain from imposing a financial transaction tax. Cameron defined the initiative as “simply madness”. He also added that the new tax is only disrupting the economic situation. Previously he promised to prevent any attempts of imposing the tax.

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    of the international traders' portal MT5.com.


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    Creation of the world’s biggest stock exchange failed
    NYSE Euronext and Deutsche Boerse cancelled the merger deal that was expected to create the largest exchange operator, NYSE executives said in an official statement. Earlier it was reported that the merger deal proposed on February 15, 2011 was rejected by the European Commission.
    The European Union officials rejected the proposed merger of NYSE Euronext and Deutsche Boerse on the grounds that the deal would significantly impede the competition on the European market. Financial companies were ready to make concessions to the regulator. Nevertheless, the merger was vetoed, though the attractiveness of the deal was affected by the European debt crisis. It is necessary to mention that the deal was approved both by the companies’ shareholders and the regulatory bodies of Germany, Luxembourg and the USA.
    In the new merged company Alpha Beta Netherlands Holding NV the shareholders of the Deutsche Boerse were supposed to hold over 60% of shares and the shareholders of the NYSE Euronext – over 40%.
    The merger of the Deutsche Boerse and NYSE Euronext failed for the second time. The deal was initially negotiated as early as in 2008 following the purchase of the French Euronext by American NYSE in 2006. The deal did not suceed at that time however.

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    German Spy Chief moved to Deutsche Bank
    The former head of Germany’s Intelligence Service Ernst Uhrlau was appointed the advisor of Deutsche Bank, according to the Spiegel magazine. The bank’s representatives have confirmed this information. Uhrlau will be responsible for issues concerning the global risks.
    The former agent of the Intelligence Service came into office at the beginning of February. This appointment was coordinated with the Head of the Federal Chancellery Ronald Pofalla.
    Late 2011 Uhrlau resigned from the Germany's foreign intelligence agency the BND due to the retirement age. His position was taken by Gerhard Schindler.
    For 6 years Ernst Uhrlau has been the head of the foreign intelligence service and coordinated the secret services under the FRG government. During his service Germany received the secret information about German tax evaders from abroad.

    Though trading on financial markets entails high risk, still it can generate extra income on condition that you apply the right approach. By choosing a reliable broker such as InstaForex you get access to the international financial markets and open your way towards financial independence. You can sign up here.


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