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    Thread: Analytical reviews by Mohamed Samy: discussions and questions to the author

    1. #1
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      Default Analytical reviews by Mohamed Samy: discussions and questions to the author

      Dear MT5 forumers,

      In this thread you are welcome to discuss analytical reviews and forecasts prepared by InstaForex analyst Mohamed Samy. The author will be glad to answer all your questions.

      We hope you will derive much pleasure and helpful information from communication in this forum thread.


      Respectfully,
      MT5 Forum Administration


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      Can EUR/USD reach down below 1.3168 within 10 hours ?

      To resume its bearish movement in its determine price area, EUR/USD should be trading below 1.3168 before tomorrow 00:04 IFX time ..


      Name:  EURUSD1H.png
Views: 199
Size:  20.3 KB

      Failure to do so will probably lead to a move to the upside again..

      Lets Follow..


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      Another view for EUR/USD pair on the 4H chart for a longer-term follow up

      Name:  eur4h.png
Views: 194
Size:  23.9 KB

      This chart puts a bearish scenario.
      It expects the EUR/USD currency pair to reach below 1.3175 before tomorrow 14:00 IFX time to resume its downside movement within the drawn channel

      NB:
      1. Price cycle on 4H chart may have more than one cycle in a lower timeframe chart.
      2. Price should respect channel limits to make sure that it's following this scenario , so break of it with obvious bullish price action cancels the view.
      3. Failure of the pair to reach its target before time comes, probably leads to price reversal.


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    7. #4
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      Quote Originally Posted by MohamedSamy     
      Can EUR/USD reach down below 1.3168 within 10 hours ?

      To resume its bearish movement in its determine price area, EUR/USD should be trading below 1.3168 before tomorrow 00:04 IFX time ..


      Attachment 12299

      Failure to do so will probably lead to a move to the upside again..

      Lets Follow..
      Name:  EUR1H.png
Views: 142
Size:  24.8 KB

      EUR/USD currency pair managed to be below 1.3168 before 00:04 IFX time but failed to stabilize below it.
      also failed to resume its downside movement towards its next station at 1.3092
      this caused the bullish movement witnessed today.

      Let's watch if 1.3220 can end the bullish retracement.


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    9. #5
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      Quote Originally Posted by MohamedSamy     
      Another view for EUR/USD pair on the 4H chart for a longer-term follow up

      Attachment 12332

      This chart puts a bearish scenario.
      It expects the EUR/USD currency pair to reach below 1.3175 before tomorrow 14:00 IFX time to resume its downside movement within the drawn channel

      NB:
      1. Price cycle on 4H chart may have more than one cycle in a lower timeframe chart.
      2. Price should respect channel limits to make sure that it's following this scenario , so break of it with obvious bullish price action cancels the view.
      3. Failure of the pair to reach its target before time comes, probably leads to price reversal.
      The view on the 4H chart is still the same
      Name:  EU4H.png
Views: 195
Size:  19.2 KB

      this chart supposes that EUR/USD will reach 1.3032 before Friday 16:00 IFX time

      Let's see.


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    11. #6
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      Update for EUR/USD 1H Chart.

      EUR/USD is showing strong bearish movements at this junction of the chart.
      Price action towards 1.3127 will determine whether it's really achieve this scenario or not.

      Name:  EUR1HUP.png
Views: 133
Size:  22.5 KB

      Let's follow.


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    13. #7
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      Quote Originally Posted by MohamedSamy     
      The view on the 4H chart is still the same
      Attachment 12391

      this chart supposes that EUR/USD will reach 1.3032 before Friday 16:00 IFX time

      Let's see.
      Price level 1.3177 should hold EUR/USD pair below.
      Break of this level for 2 successive 4H candlesticks endangers the scenario.

      Name:  eur4h.png
Views: 203
Size:  26.4 KB

      To be updated.


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    15. #8
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      Quote Originally Posted by MohamedSamy     
      Price level 1.3177 should hold EUR/USD pair below.
      Break of this level for 2 successive 4H candlesticks endangers the scenario.

      Attachment 12395

      To be updated.
      Update for the EUR/USD 4H chart.
      The suggested scenario is in progress.

      Name:  eur4h.png
Views: 185
Size:  20.8 KB

      To be updated.


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    17. #9
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      Quote Originally Posted by MohamedSamy     
      Update for the EUR/USD 4H chart.
      The suggested scenario is in progress.

      Attachment 12403

      To be updated.
      The EUR/USD is running in its suggested scenario.

      Name:  eu4h.png
Views: 136
Size:  20.5 KB

      To be updated


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    19. #10
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      USD/CAD Intraday Technical Analysis and Trading Recommendations for February 15, 2012


      Looking at the USD/CAD daily chart, We find that the pair could successfully break a mid-term uptrend line extending since last August connecting multiple buttoms since then.
      Recently after multiple days of indecision manifested in Doji daily candlesticks, the pair could establish a buttom at 0.9924 then we had a bullish engulfing daily candlestick last Friday.
      This will probably end the bearish decline temporarily pushing the pair to the upside to retest area 1.0116-1.0165 corresponding to the broken uptrend line, Fibonacci levels 50% & the drawn downtrend line.
      Yesterday we had a bearish daily candlestick closure which isn't enhancing our view of forming a temporary buttom at 0.9924 so we should be cautious today.

      Obvious bullish price action towards the support level 0.9942 is seen on the 4H chart which pushed the pair to the upside.
      We see clear bullish breakout of the marked bearish channel which indicates direction change even on the short term.
      Area 0.9970-0.9950 corresponds to the back side of the broken bearish channel & Fibonacci level 61.8% mentioned in previous articles is acting as support for the pair.
      After hiting the support area, the pair formed a buttom at 0.9970 then moved to the upside failing to break last Friday's high which brings the pair back to retest support area 0.9970-0.9950 which is taking place now.
      Break of the high recorded on last Friday at 1.0037 will open the way to 1.0116-1.0165 where price action should be watched then for a possible SHORT entry.
      We must be cautious today as yesterday's daily closure and the previous 4H closure is bearish so we should watch the current 4H candlestick price action.
      Break of the buttom 0.9924 with obvious closure below it will cancel the bullish view for the time.


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