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Thread: CL/Crude Oil

     
  1. TOP MESSAGES
    2021-05-06   16:35
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    { Technical Analysis Of The CRUDE OIL Pair (May 6) ​ANALYSIS }

    Fundamental Analysis-:
    If we remove the news on Iran, then others immediately pop up, today it became known that Saudi Aramco will reduce selling prices for consumers from Asia, and all due to the case is associated with a worsening epidemiological situation in the region. So, in India, at the end of the past day, another anti-record was set for the number of cases and deaths from coronavirus infection: 412.2 thousand new cases and 3.98 thousand deaths were detected, as a result of which the ****** authorities agreed to introduce a nationwide lockdown in the coming days. In general, speculators are not in an easy situation, on the one hand, the market is under threat, on the other hand, their desire to play on rumors, they say there is a vaccine, something to fear, and on the cries of states about the rapid recovery of the world economy.
    Technical Analysis-:
    Still, they are trying to build a movement within the ascending channel. We managed to test the horizontal resistance level 66.30-40 and now the correction is fully worked out to the horizontal level 65.20-30 . It remains to either resume the upward movement, or move inside the channel for a decline and test the lower boundaries of the upward channel. It is preferable for the buyer to get out and consolidate above the tested resistance level 66.30-40 , but let's see how possible it will be after exiting both the upper border of the channel. The option to get a decline on the exit from the ascending channel with the breakdown of the lower border is also possible, but here the main obstacle is the horizontal support level 62.80-85.
    Attachment 371778Attachment 371777

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    2021-05-10   07:36
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    On the 4-hour chart, the price is inside the ascending channel. This morning, it seems that the pair started to grow and the price broke up, the uptrend, so it is possible that the price will continue to move up and the growth target will be the upper border of this channel, this is the level of 67.37. After reaching this level, it will be possible to expect that the pair will turn around and begin to move down to the lower border of this channel, this is to the level of 63.54. Stochastic on the 4-hour chart shows growth, but is trying to turn around for a decline, therefore, after reaching the target upwards, there is a possibility that the pair will turn around and start moving down.
    Attachment 372893
    DAILY CHART FRAME
    Let's see what the daily timeframe shows us today. And these are breakout levels at the price of 67.97 upward, and downward at the price of 46.07. Unlike the daily TF, on the 4 hour timeframe, buy and sell deals will be more and the next ones will now be at 66.74 - up and down the level at 60.61. Well, and the earliest entry, on the hourly timeframe, we will watch up and down at prices 66.74 and 63.91. When the hourly candle closes, we enter a trade.
    Attachment 372894
    For Buy: StopLoss - 65.74 TakeProfit - 69.74. For Sell: StopLoss - 64.91 TakeProfit - 60.91 Exit a trade only by TP or SL. With other options, the expenditure side may increase and the profit may decrease.

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    2021-05-07   06:46
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    Crude Oil Fundamentally Analyzes

    US crude oil fell slightly on Thursday (May 6) . As the world is in the midst of a commodity boom, some people in the oil market are preparing for the price of crude oil to reach US$100 per barrel . Traders now hold options to buy nearly 20 million barrels of crude oil at $100 a barrel in three key months , and their open positions have almost doubled in the past week. Although the recovery of oil prices to triple digits is obviously not a market consensus, and derivatives such as options are still mainly used as hedging tools against the possibility of price surges, they also remind people that few people expect the rise in crude oil prices to ebb soon. Overall, oil prices are rising brightly. Although some disappointment with gasoline inventories, oil demand is picking up and the momentum is increasing. Investment banks predict that as Europe and many other regions get rid of the blockade, and intercontinental aviation begins to rise, crude oil prices It may reach US$80-85 in the second half of this year, but it is necessary to pay attention to the concerns of India or the outbreak of the third round of the epidemic or limit the room for oil price increases.
    Technical aspects of crude oil:
    The daily line closes over the K line is in a V shape above the Bollinger Bands middle rail, and the line part closes above the rising line, so there is still a short-term demand for callback. The hourly line rose on the Bollinger Band Middle Track and the 50 MA at the same time, and the Line rose strongly all the way. The Bollinger Band track clearly tilted upward, the opening continued to increase, and the obvious upward tilt. Although it was blocked and fell back near the new high of 66.7, the K line Holding the middle track of the Bollinger Bands and continuing to move up, the typical move of stepping back to confirm support, the hourly line shows a clear bullish trend. On the whole, after the crude oil stepped back to confirm the bottom at the beginning of the week, it not only recovered the decline of last week, but also set a new high.The current upward channel remains intact. On the whole, today's crude oil short-term operation is suggested to be mainly low and long, supplemented by high altitude. The top short-term focus is on the 67.0-67.5 first-line resistance, and the bottom short-term focus is on the 63.5-63.0 first-line support

    The attachment
    2021-05-07   11:12
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    The latest crude oil market analysis:

      
    crude oil news face analysis: crude oil prices fell slightly on Thursday, erasing the early gains in the session, because US gasoline inventories increased, and technical signals indicate that its rise is facing a correction. According to a report from the US Energy Information Administration on Wednesday, US crude oil inventories fell by nearly 8 million barrels last week, the largest increase in exports in history, but gasoline inventories increased for the fifth consecutive week. The raw material market has generally risen for some time, pushing the Bloomberg Commodity Spot Index to its highest level in the past decade, and crude oil prices have also followed this upward trend. However, the failure of oil prices to break through key resistance levels and the fact that prices have been hovering near the upper Bollinger band in recent trading days have increased downward pressure. The reopening of the US economy and the vaccination of the new crown vaccine will continue to provide support for the long-term recovery of demand in the US market. Some analysts said that oil prices have risen brightly, but they have gone too far, and prices have encountered resistance and fallen, but it is difficult for the growth of demand in the summer to derail.
      
    Crude oil technical analysis:

    Crude oil showed a trend of rising and falling as a whole on Thursday. It opened at 65.2 in early trading. After a slight fall, it began to rise. The highest reached US$65.9, the European market turned down, the US market accelerated downward, and the lowest touched an intraday low. It rebounded after the 64.4 position and finally closed at around $65. From the perspective of the disk, the daily line closes the middle yin line of the shadow line, forming a pattern of 2 consecutive yin. This time the callback is slightly stronger, but it does not form a yin swallowing yang pattern, and a trend change is formed spatially, but in actual form , The daily Bollinger Band continues to open upwards, showing a shock upward trend recently. The K-line runs along the upward trend line, and the K-line keeps developing above the daily unilateral moving average. The trend in the daily cycle is still long. On the 4-hour line, the K-line continued to close at a high position. After hitting a high of $66.7, the rebound high continued to move downward, forming a partial head and shoulders pattern. Although the overall upward channel has not been destroyed, it is a way to change time and space. , The overall is still strong, but we still need to beware of a deep pullback caused by a high fall. On the whole, after the continuous rise of oil prices, short-term corrections are ushered in. Therefore, in the daily operation. Ghot to rebound from high altitudes, supplemented by callbacks.
    Attachment 372021
    Ghot

    The attachment
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    On the 4-hour chart, the price is inside the ascending channel. This morning, it seems that the pair started to grow and the price broke up, the uptrend, so it is possible that the price will continue to move up and the growth target will be the upper border of this channel, this is the level of 67.37. After reaching this level, it will be possible to expect that the pair will turn around and begin to move down to the lower border of this channel, this is to the level of 63.54. Stochastic on the 4-hour chart shows growth, but is trying to turn around for a decline, therefore, after reaching the target upwards, there is a possibility that the pair will turn around and start moving down.

    Name: 2687682678678.jpg Views: 15 Size: 244.8 KB

    DAILY CHART FRAME

    Let's see what the daily timeframe shows us today. And these are breakout levels at the price of 67.97 upward, and downward at the price of 46.07. Unlike the daily TF, on the 4 hour timeframe, buy and sell deals will be more and the next ones will now be at 66.74 - up and down the level at 60.61. Well, and the earliest entry, on the hourly timeframe, we will watch up and down at prices 66.74 and 63.91. When the hourly candle closes, we enter a trade.

    Name: #CLD1.gif Views: 16 Size: 26.2 KB

    For Buy: StopLoss - 65.74 TakeProfit - 69.74. For Sell: StopLoss - 64.91 TakeProfit - 60.91 Exit a trade only by TP or SL. With other options, the expenditure side may increase and the profit may decrease.


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    Crude oil trend-related information.

    Monday (May 10) US crude oil opened higher and oscillated, and major US fuel pipeline companies were attacked by hackers. Oil prices fluctuated within a narrow range last Friday. Despite the worsening of the new crown crisis in India, oil prices rose for the second consecutive week in the context of optimism about the recovery of the global economy. The April announcement of last weeks employment in the United States fell short of expectations, indicating a long road to recovery and restricting oil price demand. The National Development and Reform Commission will carry out the ninth oil price adjustment this year on the evening of May 14. The latest estimated oil price adjustment will increase by 105 yuan per ton of gasoline, which has exceeded the current oil price increase standard of the refined oil price formation mechanism, and the gasoline price per liter at gas stations The increase is from 0.08 yuan to 0.10 yuan. Overall, although the operating rate of US refineries has reached the highest since the beginning of the epidemic to prepare for the summer driving season and increase crude oil demand, the employment data in the US that is less than expected in April shows that the road to recovery may not be optimistic, and with the new crown epidemic in India Deteriorating, a new wave of the epidemic is rapidly sweeping more and more countries in South and Southeast Asia. The severe situation of the epidemic spreads again, which will limit the rise of oil prices. In the short term, continue to pay attention to the US-Iran nuclear talks and news related to the epidemic. In the day, we will focus on the speech made by Chicago Fed President Evans on the current US economic conditions and monetary policy; this week we also need to pay attention to OPEC, EIA and IEA's three major crude oils are monthly reports.


    The overall trend of crude oil last week rose and fell, but the strength of the fall is not strong. Therefore, the overall trend is still bullish. The ascending structure has not been broken. The weekly line is still strong and bullish. As long as the price is above 63, the bullish price remains unchanged. Look opinion that the position of MA10 that supports the daily line is bullish near 64.8, stop loss 63.9, look 66-67. Just remember that the general direction of crude oil is bullish, and short-term retracement is us. Opportunity to do more.
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    yesterday was a very busy day, and the price both grew and fell, and now the price is at 64.30 and how, for me, the price will be able to continue to decline to the level of the last day's low, although I do not understand the background behind such a fall in oil ... And now the price is at the level of 64.25 from the ichimoku level, the price was able to form a fractal for declines and the price is gradually starting to work out it. I think that the decline will continue further to the level of 60.00. But more on that later. I think that it will still be easy to reach the level of the middle line, for the reason that the stochastic price is already showing a northern direction.


    But I doubt it because it looked more like manipulation by small speculators. which, taking advantage of the absence of a buyer, simply sold and then bought.
    I believe in this option much more, since, after all, the dollar is not such a large amount for a large player, and if you really collect fish in your nets, then it will act much more broadly.

    Oil rose sharply, which was immediately reflected in the price, its sharp change. But in recent days, several other events have occurred, such as a problem with the largest pipeline in the United States and a fire in the largest field in Kuwait. The price did not react to this at all.

    Now the strategy is simple, we follow the indicated level (green) and dance from it.

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    Technical Analysis on Crude oil of current week


    Crude oil can't hit the market so hard as before on Monday. Investors couldn't invest more as per pandemic condition. Pandemic has reduced the usage of crude oil and let the price of oil to bearish. Investors are now focusing more on pandemic infected figures rather than the oil market. This Monday was an important point for investors when the market showed bearishness instead of bullish. Crude oil market started at 64.92, then it went upwards to a few pips. Then again decreases to 64.12 at the time of writing.


    Name: Crude oil.jpg Views: 5 Size: 169.3 KB


    Oil is looking so volatile. It may show some trouble decreasing at the current point, but it looks only temporary. Market move will be again ascending in long term investment. It will be more volatile in movement. Cyber attack on American largest gasoline and diesel pipeline propels investors to look at June for its new pricing. This shutdown of oil will cause an uprising in oil prices because of high demand. It may cause volatility in crude oil prices in America. Then, this need will ultimately cause a stumbling of the crude market of the world. But a change in market can be seen if refineries require little oil because of pandemic conditions.


    A trade through 66.70$ will limit the last close trade price. And will be a signal of an uprising trend in the crude oil market. If this uprising continues, it will further touch the level of 70.00$. There is an uptrend in the coming up days. Stopping the oil market about 64.80$ is a good point for buyers. Slight uptrend will change the market momentum and buyers will get benefit. But below sustaining the oil market will be helpful for sellers because the next move of the market will be down more.


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