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    Thread: How to analyze and value seasonal businesses?

    1. #1
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      Default How to analyze and value seasonal businesses?

      What are the practical ways to analyze and value seasonal businesses?


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      A seasonal business is very profitable especially when you have a good source for getting your products, there are secrets about it which many prospective traders don't understand, never assume that price will always remain up for each season because more people are attracted into a business that produced good profits previously, that means the following year will have saturated supply which will make the business to experience some slow progress, at that stage we might be discouraged. To analyse the true value of a seasonal business, we need to do a survey of those that have been into the endeavour before us with a view to finding out the different challenges and profit that could be made at each particular time.


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      A seasonal business can be very risky because you will not be able to sell whatever is left after the period where the item would be in high demand is over but this can be very rewarding, before you can analyze and know the potential that is in a particular line of seasonal items, you just carry out a good visibility study in order to understand what people would need at a certain period of time, for example during the rainy season what is needed more is umbrella, this should be your focus, the first thing would be to get a location where people always passes through and set up your umbrella stand for anyone going to their destination to patronise you.


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      To analyze and Value Seasonal Businesses You can Follow The Following Steps :

      1- Track your Data : To Monitor The Effect of Seasonal Change By Tracking The revenue and Expenses To get a better Picture on how Seasonality impact on your balance Sheet and you Can Use Quick-books To Give You Good View about how your business Perform in Both Peak seasons and Off seasons and this may lead you for making changes In the expenses as The Wages .
      2- Defining the seasonal Trend : By Knowing the data for the Last three Years For tracking the revenue which can make you know how much growth To expect in the coming years and the Changes in the revenue In The off seasons Beside examining the expenses for the same period For Measuring The Expenses and comparing it with the Revenue In Both The Peak seasons and Off seasons .
      3- Understand Seasonal affects : And We can know it from the data which we collected it which can help us in Understanding how seasons affect our businesses So in the next season you can Know well the Things that you have to change it in your business For Increasing your Revenue and after that stage you have To go to the Planning .
      4- Make a plan after The Mentioned above Three Points Such as :
      - The preparing for The slow Season By Reducing the work force For example .
      - Using your time effectively : as Making marketing in the Peak season and making Training and New Business ideas In the Off season .
      - Prepare Your investors and Creditors : By Informing them with our business challenges and strategies To know The nature of the seasonality business Carefully .
      - Informing your employees with The nature of the business : to inform them with the Times that they can work properly in it and the times which you may reduce their wages in it .
      - Develop Alternate Income Sources : By Finding any sources Can bring good Income to us In the off season .
      - Offering Discounts In the Off seasons : For Promoting people to Buy our products while off seasons if this will not affect on our profits .


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      How to analyze and value seasonal businesses?
      when it comes to season business, its somehow difficult to analyse, honestly season business somehow can be a blessing if we manage our time and resources well
      1. when handling a season business, we must have an alternative business, so that when we are in off season, we can keep doing, though some season business requires continuous assessment so there is no time to waste
      2.we need to assess the past result or revenue of the last season, so as to know area to improve on during the new season
      3. we have to take full advantage of the new season business because we cant afford to loose to our competitors during the season by so we have to make sure everything we need are in place before the season


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      I work in the field of clothing and it is a business that has seasons
      From January to March, clothes should be manufactured to suit the summer season, where the clothes are sold from March to July
      From June to September, you can also make winter clothes where they are sold from October to January
      So the year passes and you have a system for months what you will manufacture and what you will sell
      I think every area of work has the same plans. If you want to work in any area that has seasons, you have to know about those seasons so you know how to prepare for them and how to work there too.
      Also has a friend who works in the manufacture of bags for the schools and so he almost manufactures bags throughout the year, but is sold in the two months just before the beginning of the academic year only


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      Accounting for working capital when valuing a business can present a unique set of challenges. Changes in working capital can have a material impact on enterprise value. Growth results in permanent increase in inventory and accounts receivable, which can be used to secure borrowings. A time-series analysis, which looks at data points over a certain time interval, how such as your historical sales data over the past year, will help you recognize patterns in your data and extract meaningful information. The analysis will reveal recurring peaks or dips, such as the nearly inevitable spike in fourth quarter sales for retail businesses due to holiday shopping activity. But because seasonality goes far beyond Christmas gift purchases, you can use your time-series analysis to drill down on specific periods of time or to identify products that might be affected. For instance, a moving company's seasonal analysis might show that few moves occur in the winter, which might lead the company to lend out its trucks and and staff for delivery services during that time to keep revenue up. As your time -series analysis might have shown you, tracking seasonality is tricky business. It encompasses weather patterns, business practices, holidays and more. Figuring out how to leverage it takes a deep understanding of its effects, as well as knowledge of your company and the markets you serve. Luckily, if you have the right data, the ability to identify patterns is well within reach. It's how you address those predictable fluctuation, whether through marketing campaigns or administrative changes, that can make or break your business.


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      Default Re: How to analyze and value seasonal businesses?

      seasonal business sometimes can difficult to manage most especially during the off season period. this type of business generate most of their revenue just some quarter of the year which is not entirely bad in as much as they are well profitable, but the major challenges they all encounter is how to keep the business running when he business liquidity seems to have dry out, so i think the best idea is as a business entity, they will have to engage in multi purpose business,
      analyzing a seasonal business?

      -i think we first have to analyse the product we wanna offer and how easy its to get
      -analyse the demand of such product and how profitable it will become
      -Surely there will be competition, but we have to analyse what the competitors are doing and try to do better.


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      Default Re: How to analyze and value seasonal businesses?

      Seasonal Business: A business which corresponds in the particular season of the years is called seasonal business like ginning fo cotton such business only remain open at the end of the cotton season for two to three months so its a seasonal business. Even in the ordinary business, the months come when sales and activities remain maximum but those are not called seasonal business because they run the course all over the year that makes them ordinary business or business that run all over the year.

      Important things for a seasonal business are,

      The money coming in has to last all year: the Profit which one earns in a season must cover the expenses for the full year and in next year if there is need of money to start the setup that remains available to inject. Pressure always remain there as the owner has to earn in very short time span for the full year expenses.
      Forecasting business expenses is a necessity: it is really important because in the very short time to do such business expense remains always on the higher side so if a forecast is made that can help to analyze it better.
      Sustainability: There is the need to make enough efforts to sustain in that time as in the short time there is very few and little efforts are done by owners to market it so always have a B plan if it is not making profits.
      Manage the impact of seasonality on staff: you have to get maximum output and without your staff, its remain impossible to manage the impact of seasonality on your staff.
      Understand the cycles in your industry: Understnd the cycle of your business this will help you to understand when you stop doing repairs and investment.
      Don't run out of cash: you are in the market for a very short time span so do not run out of cash becasue running out of cash will harm you badly.
      Only buy what you need: There is no need to pile up stock just buy the things which you can consume immediately because if anything left after season you have to take care of that for rest of year and it will also cost you and your finances remain stuck there.
      Improve your offer near the end of the season: To sell all of your inventory you need to improve your offers while considering discounts near the end of the season.

      For such business getting finance is really hard as banks usually do not consider it a safe investment because of short operational time but if you are in process industry like cotton ginning than getting finance is easy for you are as it comes under process finance and banks prefer to lend such segments. if you are in seasonal business then prefer to have multiple income streams as you cannot depend on a single source of income that is also a seasonal one. When you have multiple income sources where it will become easy for you to manage your finances in the rest of year.


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      Default Re: How to analyze and value seasonal businesses?

      Quote Originally Posted by dtvade View Post
      How to analyze and value seasonal businesses?
      Seasonal business has no limit. You can start a season business by your own analysis. Before starting your business seasonally you have keep in mind that you must have a strong plan. Planning is the key to get success in every business. The more attractive and innovative idea you generate then the more possible will arise that you can get success in your business. Some basic concepts are:

      1. Placement is mandatory:
      Suppose, you want to sell winter vegetables. That means you require a crowd place to sell these vegetables. You should have to choose a market where people usually visits. Placement is the mother of every business success. You don't have to open a oil pump in that crowded place. Usually oil pump have to set besides the running roads.

      2. Timing:
      Suppose, you have to sell winter vegetables. People usually buy vegetables in the morning during morning walk. If you open your shop in the evening, it won't get success. That's why timing is a must needed thing for every business.

      3. Capital:
      Capital is a must needed things to start a business. In seasonal business it's not alternatives. You requires good capital as well. As i give example with winter vegetables so here i also give example for that. Suppose, people wants to buy something special that you haven't collected. It will let these customer to go another shop. That's why you have to buy every single vegetables for your shop. Capital is essential to buy all of these items.

      Seasonal business is profitable but risky also. Because if you can't sell these in time then you have to sell these urgently with loss. So be careful while choosing your items for seasonal business. It's better to choose clothing for seasonal business.


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