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    Thread: Forex (also includes commodities, metals, cryptos and others) news schedule and market rumors/opinion

    1. #1
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      Default Forex (also includes commodities, metals, cryptos and others) news schedule and market rumors/opinion

      You can post the news schedule in here or any rumor that you heard or read somewhere or even give your opinion on what the market reaction will be about certain news.

      The only rule for this thread is the news / rumor must be the latest/fresh!


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    3. #2
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      Oil prices fell sharply a few days ago because of the reopening of oil ports in Libya. This made oil investors shocked by the reopening of oil ports that had been closed in June due to a dispute that occurred in the Middle East. Decrease of oil +/- 4%-5% after port in Libya re-operate, this can be assumed if the supply of oil will increase even though the US will make Iran's oil production to 0 in November.

      World oil prices rebounded on Friday because investors continue to digest monthly reports from International Energy Agency (IEA). The price increase of about 1% but weekly accumulation, oil prices decreased.
      Saturday, July 14, 2018, WTI (West Texas Intermediate) settling on price 71.01 per barrel. Everyone is still trying to understand IEA statement, if Arab and Russian ramped up oil production to cover supplies from Iran due to sanctions from US then it is possible to use world oil reserves to cover supply shortages. This ongoing condition will have a bigger impact in the future even though for now it is still able to cover up the shortage of supply that still exists. When the reserves are exhausted and both countries can not provide supply then the price of oil will not be contained again with a more significant increase. Although US has also given statement if it has 660 million oil reserves for supplies for 2-3 years but many think it is just a rumor, given that US production also continued to decline for several years in accumulation.


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      We have several news coming out this week for both GBP and USD so the market movement will be strong.
      BOE speech with CPI might be the trigger for the GBP pairs and FED might take center stage for USD.
      The market has been wobbling lately so it might be time for some serious hundreds of pips movement, yes?


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      Here are today's high and medium impact release time,

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      Quote Originally Posted by kashifrehman     
      Here are today's high and medium impact release time,

      Attachment 81247Attachment 81248
      Price in EU and GU market moved strongly yesterday probably it will still continue until the end of the week.
      What's your take on this week's news and potential market movement mate?


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      Quote Originally Posted by PhantomTrader79     
      Price in EU and GU market moved strongly yesterday probably it will still continue until the end of the week.
      What's your take on this week's news and potential market movement mate?
      Dear, Powell and Carney make this week more difficult to predict these two pairs in this week, but its trading which never stops so yesterday i take a small short position on GU that i close today as it is not in enough power to break the level and hold below the 1.30 area. On the daily time frame it is going to form a spring there and it is with the decent volume means more then the average volume and higher from previous two days (hopefully at closing) and here is the time to wait for the conformation if it is confirmed then surely will buy it.

      On the other side i am more focused to trade USD/JPY as most of banks and hedge funds turned bullish on this pair and previous two weeks COT data is also showing the same fact, Today we see a good down candle but after that it went into consolidation and now its hovering above the area of 112.70 and its volume nearly become zero on 15M time frame, so from here if it start moving up then surely buy it with standard risk.


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      Today's high and medium impact release time

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      Employment reading was in favor of AUD and AU gain in the start but after that all the gains are washed out may be some one can better explain the reason, as i am unable to find any good reason behind it or it may start moving upward in next session.


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      Quote Originally Posted by PhantomTrader79     
      Price in EU and GU market moved strongly yesterday probably it will still continue until the end of the week.
      What's your take on this week's news and potential market movement mate?
      My observation is that due to the Markov Process generating the price time series, whenever there is extreme price movement on a certain day (most often exceeding 100 pips), on the very next day, price movement and volatility is typically one-third of the previous day's trading range. Sometimes this rule does not hold, but in most cases, it does hold. Therefore, I do not expect the large daily range of the Eur/Usd and Gbp/Usd to continue. It looks as if the market has a self-correcting mechanism.


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    17. #9
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      HARD BREXIT

      The E.U. and U.K. are trying to make sure that the split will be smooth but both sides think that some things are not in their favor.
      This is the U.K. that will experience tough situation because E.U. rolled out a different terms and condition than what the U.K. is doing.
      There are companies that still want to work on both sides and servicing clients from both UK and EU.
      What do you see the impact will for the both side?


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      Quote Originally Posted by Pongsakorn**     
      HARD BREXIT

      The E.U. and U.K. are trying to make sure that the split will be smooth but both sides think that some things are not in their favor.
      This is the U.K. that will experience tough situation because E.U. rolled out a different terms and condition than what the U.K. is doing.
      There are companies that still want to work on both sides and servicing clients from both UK and EU.
      What do you see the impact will for the both side?
      I think BREXIT is going to be a big blow to the U.K. than to the E.U. because E.U. is far bigger in size in many things compared to the U.K.
      So they can dictate things and this will make the U.K. impacted in various way. Germany is leading the E.U. because it has the biggest size in terms of economy.
      And the effect of this BREXIT will be felt much later.
      Traders don't know the future that is why traders need market scenarios.


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