Today's trading day promises to be busy, especially as for the euro/dollar currency pair. Today's macroeconomic calendar is full of some important releases. This fundamental data is expected to have a major impact on the market. However, let's not get ahead of ourselves but try to figure that all out.
The ECB meeting is set to be held today. Traders are hoping to receive some clues about the future of the European central regulator's monetary policy.
At the meeting, the ECB is expected to decide on its interest rates, monetary policy, etc. The regulator will most likely remain its interest rates unchanged, although, at the same time, the ECB seeks to cut interest rates further into negative territory. The key factor that has an impact on the ECB's decision is the inflation rate in the euro area. The main task of the ECB is to maintain price stability. The regulator tries to keep the annual inflation rate at about 2%.
Also, the decision of the European regulator may be affected by the labour market data (the unemployment rate in the euro area), GDP growth, economic forecasts, as well as the expectations of market participants. The analysts' forecasts are rather optimistic. Therefore, traders expect the euro/dollar pair to make a sharp upward movement today.
EUR/USD
According to the M30 chart, it can be seen that the price has turned around at the level of 1.1760, and the pair is currently trading along the support line to return to the previous levels. The level of 1.1960 can be seen as a target for today. Buyers are likely to lead the price to this level by the end of the American trading session.
The situation on the daily chart only confirms this assumption.
As we can see, the pair is trading within an upward price channel. The price has rebounded from the lower border of the price channel from the support level and has gone towards the upper border. The buyers' current long-term target is the level of 1.20000. As for the intraday trading, I think that buyers intend to push the price up so that it could consolidate above the middle of the price channel.