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    Page 141 of 141 ... 136 139 140 141
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    Thread: EUR/USD (part 80)

    1. #1401
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      Quote Originally Posted by ForexRich     
      EUR/USD may reverse amid strange moves on interbank lending market. NY industrial sector faces headwinds

      We could see some strange moves on the interbank lending market pointing at the sharp rise of the US dollar. I consider it force-major. I expected EUR/USD to lower to the current levels, but not too deep.
      The Fedís daily repos seem to be out of control. Usually, it happens at the end of the year when all financial markets are off for short holidays. Something similar happened yesterday when the overnight rate rose by more than 150 basis points to 3.80% from 2.27%.

      Attachment 140461

      As a result, different rumors appeared on the market. Some investors think that the Federal Reserve lost control over its rates, and the chaos began. Some traders consider it a sign of the necessity to lower IOER rate ASAP. Notably. This rate was already lowered to 2.1% in late July together with the Funds rate. Therefore, the Funds rate should be cut as well, even faster.
      On the other side, the futures market lowered its expectations of interest rates cut to 64% from 78.5% recorded the previous week. Meanwhile, the credit market showed a decline as its specialists saw a risk in the current situation. Thus, today the market is quite mixed.

      Treasuries fell against their German rivals, while EUR/USD reversed against the credit market. Usually, the pair just returns to its medium or previous levels.

      Attachment 140462

      In the meantime, negative news keeps coming from the US industrial sector. The New York Empire State index declined to 2 amid a major drop in investment expectations to the lowest level since 2016. It is another sign of a notable slowdown in the US industry. Earlier, the index tried to recover and already made it out of the red zone. Unfortunately, it reversed again. The Fed is likely to pay attention to this issue and give its rhetoric more dovish tone than I expect.

      Attachment 140463

      The tricky part of the current situation is that when both regions face headwinds, itís hard to say what currency will get weaker. The situation in the euro area is worse, but the market already showed its reaction to most of that news. The reaction to the US news is still to come, but, basically, the situation in the States is better, and the demand for the greenback is still high. Thus, the pair is likely to trade sideways in a wide range for quite a while. Traders are left puzzled.

      Technically, the system doesnít make much sense. On the one hand, an envelope on H4 widened, and ADX shows the signs of growth amid the fall of EUR/USD. These factors point at the rise of volatility. On the other hand, the relative strength index is very small at the moment, while H1 indicates a necessity to retreat. If the pair moves up a bit, channel trading will start. I expected the pair to touch 1.0980 but not that fast. So, the pair is likely to return to 1.1050-70 today and trade around these levels until the Fedís meeting.

      Attachment 140464
      Today one of the impressive move we have look. Yesterday ww were thinking that EUR has become enough weak either it will survive its strength or not but EUR has proven its strength and have strong resistance at verybshort time al the level 1.1075 so no doubt we face a nice move in the market move espacially in EURUSD


    2. #1402
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      Greetings to all traders and speculators who are here in the forum!

      Letís consider the daily chart for the euro/dollar currency pair:

      News on both the euro and the dollar is expected for this day, and the Federal Reserve of the United States will announce the last one - the announcement of data regarding the interest rate. Also today, we are anticipating to see a multidirectional movement as well as increased volatility in the market. During the previous day, the sellers failed to break under the level of 1.0995, and because of that, the purchasers breakdown the price for the level of 1.1025. Now, the price is already approaching the level of resistance of 1.1065. It can also be noted that the upward trend line of medium-term is passing around this level; thus, a breakdown upwards is expected. However, given this breakdown will be constructed against the backdrop of high volatility, a complex false breakdown with updating the previous local maximum is very possible. Following that, the price of the EUR/USD pair is expected to go back under the level and the price decline in the area of 9 figures.

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    3. #1403
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      Intraday trading

      I donít have much to say here. I expect the price to go down and then rebound to 1.1150.

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      Technical analysis

      The EUR/USD pair doesnít have any clear direction prior to the Fedís meeting.

      D1 shows a downtrend.

      H4 shows an uptrend.

      H1 shows flat movement.

      So, the picture is mixed. I want to find out what the pair will actually do before the Fedís meeting, so I could make a profit after it.

      Let me share with you what my system shows.

      The 1.1080 level will confirm an uptrend. Thus, we will have two time frames showing an uptrend, considering H4. On H1, the pair should retreat after hitting 1.1080. On the downside, the pair may touch 1.0970 and then rebound to 1.1150 and 1.1160. There is strong resistance at 1.1160, so the pair may retreat quite deep to the downside after hitting it. However, if this level is broken the pair might develop a major rally.

      Thus, if H1 also shows an uptrend, bulls will get more chances.

      I expect the pair to retreat to 1.0970 after the Fedís meeting, not necessary but likely, and then to rise to 1.1150.

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      Today intraday levels

      1.1057 on the upside.

      1.0995 on the downside.

      Yesterday the pair did break any of these levels, and the trading range got narrower. Itís not that good before the Fedís meeting because the pair may break both levels after it. In this case, the range will get wider, and when it happens, the pair usually returns to the start of the day.

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    4. #1404
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      Hi everyone! Today most speculators are poised to reap profits from the Fedís policy meeting. Iím no exception. Yesterday, an interesting situation unfolded in the market. EUR/USD climbed 80 pips amid a lack of meaningful news. Earlier, the pair slumped also about 80 pips. It seems that the most popular currency pair, out sleeping beauty, has eventually woken up. Today, the US Fed is holding a meeting. Will the pair be able to dive 100-150 pips? Now letís sort it out. Someone from my fellow traders expects the pair to retrace to 1.0970 to be followed by a probable bounce to 1.1150.

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      Indeed, I myself expect this scenario, though I donít assume such a deep retracement, at least as low as 1.0990. Later, I expect a disruption of the uptrend that is no good. To put it in a nutshell, I foresee the uptrend. So, I closed the long position and sold a bit. The target is 1.0000 +/-. Iím ready to buy at this level. Then I assume a new high at 1.1110. This could be the main move for today. Of course, the price can undershoot or overshoot. The highly preferable scenario for EUR/USD to climb at the 12th figure. Here, strong resistance could begin on a daily timeframe. The pair could at least halt its move up.

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      As for the euro, there is a delta for short positions, though a trade volume is rather small yesterday and today. The pair suggests both buying and selling opportunities. Something similar is happening with oil (joking). Neither buyers or sellers set the tone for EUR/USD. On the one hand, there is resistance of 1.148-1.178 (1.074-1.104 on Forex) and support of 1.075-1.108 (1.001-1.034 on Forex). What should be done about this? I donít want to think about it. Please share your ideas.

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      Hmm Ö Letís try to figure out. Analyzing resistance and support, Iím in favor of the uptrend on condition that the pair can hold firmly above 1.0990-1.1000. I believe that trading higher will generate more liquidity. The breakout of the 11th figure can propel the price move. Most traders placed their stop orders above the 11th figure. Limit orders are also there. In other words, the pair is about to break a trading range upward or downward. In the second case, the target is a lower low. In the first case, the target is the 12th figure. In other words, Iím going to buy from 1.1000 +/- with the target level of 1.1200 until the weekend.


    5. #1405
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      Quote Originally Posted by FxTaylor     
      Hi everyone! Today most speculators are poised to reap profits from the Fedís policy meeting. Iím no exception. Yesterday, an interesting situation unfolded in the market. EUR/USD climbed 80 pips amid a lack of meaningful news. Earlier, the pair slumped also about 80 pips. It seems that the most popular currency pair, out sleeping beauty, has eventually woken up. Today, the US Fed is holding a meeting. Will the pair be able to dive 100-150 pips? Now letís sort it out. Someone from my fellow traders expects the pair to retrace to 1.0970 to be followed by a probable bounce to 1.1150.

      Attachment 140776

      Indeed, I myself expect this scenario, though I donít assume such a deep retracement, at least as low as 1.0990. Later, I expect a disruption of the uptrend that is no good. To put it in a nutshell, I foresee the uptrend. So, I closed the long position and sold a bit. The target is 1.0000 +/-. Iím ready to buy at this level. Then I assume a new high at 1.1110. This could be the main move for today. Of course, the price can undershoot or overshoot. The highly preferable scenario for EUR/USD to climb at the 12th figure. Here, strong resistance could begin on a daily timeframe. The pair could at least halt its move up.

      Attachment 140775

      As for the euro, there is a delta for short positions, though a trade volume is rather small yesterday and today. The pair suggests both buying and selling opportunities. Something similar is happening with oil (joking). Neither buyers or sellers set the tone for EUR/USD. On the one hand, there is resistance of 1.148-1.178 (1.074-1.104 on Forex) and support of 1.075-1.108 (1.001-1.034 on Forex). What should be done about this? I donít want to think about it. Please share your ideas.

      Attachment 140777

      Hmm Ö Letís try to figure out. Analyzing resistance and support, Iím in favor of the uptrend on condition that the pair can hold firmly above 1.0990-1.1000. I believe that trading higher will generate more liquidity. The breakout of the 11th figure can propel the price move. Most traders placed their stop orders above the 11th figure. Limit orders are also there. In other words, the pair is about to break a trading range upward or downward. In the second case, the target is a lower low. In the first case, the target is the 12th figure. In other words, Iím going to buy from 1.1000 +/- with the target level of 1.1200 until the weekend.
      hello there, my fellow trader fxtaylor,
      thanks to provide resume for future pair movement. the distance will not going too far look like to bear down after pin bar appear 3 days ago. soon the sign, to the north come and it right no longer after the downfall sign of pin. the market got the prize of inside bar and it shows that momentum will stop to call. expect to change for common sign and I stop my sell order.

      thank you for your wise resume


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    7. #1406
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      Good Morning everyone i hope you all are fine and having a good day in trading market i was not there yesterday due to expiry of my data plan yesterday EUR/USD had a good movement and it had provided me the good enough profit i am sharing my yesterday market movement profits so finally EUR/USD is back in form and having a fine pace of growth for traders you can see below i placed the lot 0.94 and received the handsome amount of profit on that.
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    9. #1407
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      Hello, dear speculators.

      Intraday trading.

      Within the day, M15 is directed downwards. The lower targets are 1.0990-80.

      But I plan to break through the level of 1.1090 in order to reach 1.1150. The breakout of 1.1090 will cancel the downtrend.

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      Technical analysis of EUR/USD.
      In general terms, nothing happened yesterday, we were waiting for the Fed news, but there was no result.

      I hope that today we still start to work out yesterday's news. According to the indicators, there is nothing to add. So far, H1 and H4 show a weak upward trend. Within the day, there is no direction yet. The situation is more similar to a sideways trend. We have only the yellow indicator, which is directed towards the downside so far. If we take into account everything that I have described, it will become clear that we will not go anywhere until the Americans come and we get a specific signal and direction. At the moment, we need to follow the intraday indicators and intraday levels. The latter are the most important. They will help us find the direction we are going to move in.

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      Intraday levels for today.

      The upper level is 1.1068.

      The lower level is 1.1053.

      They are our guides. The situation is likely to be interesting. The breakout of 1.1068 will send us to 1.1150. The breakout of 1.1053 will break the uptrend within the day and send us to 1.0950. Today, the intraday levels will show us the way.

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    10. #1408
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      The situation seems to be favorable for bears. The price should rise to 1042-49, I will add some deals to sell there. However, the pair should pass by the intraday balance at 1036 first. After that, the pair might lower to the bottom at 0953.

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      My system also shows a downtrend. 1043-50 seems to be a strong resistance and a good point to enter the market to sell with a target at 1002 for now. However, the price may fall lower.

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    11. #1409
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      Technical analysis of EUR/USD.
      In general terms, nothing happened yesterday, we were waiting for the Fed news, but there was no result.

      I hope that today we still start to work out yesterday's news. According to the indicators, there is nothing to add. So far, H1 and H4 show a weak upward trend. Within the day, there is no direction yet. The situation is more similar to a sideways trend. We have only the yellow indicator, which is directed towards the downside so far. If we take into account everything that I have described, it will become clear that we will not go anywhere until the Americans come and we get a specific signal and direction. At the moment, we need to follow the intraday indicators and intraday levels. The latter are the most important. They will help us find the direction we are going to move in.


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