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    Results 1 to 8 of 8

    Thread: THE RECESSION WARNINGS

    1. #1
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      Default THE RECESSION WARNINGS

      In 2008 most financial analyst were sounding warnings that ,there will be recession but most governments were saying that there won't be recession,some said that even if it comes, that they will manage it.However recession came and most people lost their hard-earned money in stock market.Am not here to say that recession should come or not.My observation from that recession period as concerning its effect on forex trading is tha,t volatility use be very high and erratic.The reason being that since stock markets are down,the investors will look for other ways to invest, then forex becomes an option.


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      yes many people are focusing now on forex market as stock market crashes very badly the europion economy aleeady in recession their all data fell sharply like CPI PPI and other china is tumbling with their trade war with US austrlian and newzealand economy are fell sharply as they depend much more china economy only US economy is performing well at this level but they also hit by recession soon if trump making stupid things with his decision trade war effect them also but they are still stable condition if fed cut rate this meeting on next 3 month recession is confirmed on US which effect all global economy very very badly


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      blessing76 (10-02-2019)

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      First off, understand recessions are cyclical and need to happen for an economy to sustain and keep growing. It sucks when it happens (if youre not prepared for it, which we will discuss), but is 100% necessary.


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      If six months ago, disastrous figures were published every other time, now all the main indicators come in bulk. And not small. It looks sad for the foreign exchange market, as chief economist Philip Lane hinted at a repeated cut in interest rates and an increase in incentives if necessary. And the last economic landscape, sharply sagging to its lowest level over many years, says that this need will be discussed. It should be noted that the question is not whether they will do it or not. Namely, there is a discussion sufficient to act out the EURUSD price within the fifth wave. There are more than enough arguments for further acceleration. Both technical and economic. Comparing with the US data, it is clear that the indicators went in different directions. Core PCE and PCE have grown. The first is 0.2%, the second is 0.1%. The European region is expected to slow down by the same amount. Is it realistic to expect a multidirectional monetary policy under such conditions? Is quite real.


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      The US-China trade partnership situation is still in doubt. At the beginning of October, countries scheduled another round of negotiations on this subject. As practice has shown more than once, such meetings do not bring any concrete results. Moreover, progress in trade relations can be crossed out at any time by another tweet of the American president. It seems likely for both sides to maintain a trade conflict as an instrument of political pressure. Secondly, the position of the American president is in doubt - he faces impeachment. It is difficult to predict the course of events, but investors will be cautious until the issue is resolved, which means buying American currency.


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      The US-China exchange organization circumstance is still in uncertainty. Toward the start of October, nations planned another round of exchanges regarding this matter. As training has indicated more than once, such gatherings don't bring any solid outcomes. Also, progress in exchange relations can be crossed out whenever by another tweet of the American president. It appears to be likely for the two sides to keep up an exchange strife as an instrument of political weight. Besides, the situation of the American president is in uncertainty - he faces indictment. It is hard to foresee the course of occasions, yet financial specialists will be wary until the issue is settled, which means purchasing American cash.


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      In the world of energy, everything is changing rapidly. Many countries are actively involved in the fight to reduce carbon emissions. The shale revolution turns all predictions and established views upside down. The psychological effect is such that renewable sources have received an even greater impetus to development. The models are no longer relevant to the current needs of the industry. But so far nothing has come to replace them and it is no longer possible to forecast ahead, as before.


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      A multi-level system for applying deposit rates has been introduced. Under the new system, part of deposits placed by banks will be exempted from the negative rate. This measure is designed to mitigate the negative consequences of the rate cut for eurozone banks. The regulator lowered forecasts for economic growth and consumer prices in the eurozone for the current and next year, said chairman at a press conference following the meeting.


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