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Thread: Forex Humor

  1. #61 Collapse Post
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    OPEC: global oil demand to drop in 2020




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    According to the estimates provided by OPEC, this year, demand for oil may decline by 9.77 million barrels a day. The oil cartel has slightly cut its forecast compared to the previous month. The figures were downwardly revised due to the weak OECD data for the third quarter. This, in turn, was caused by lower demand on transportation fuel in the US and European OECD member countries. As a result, OPEC lowered the indicator by 0.18 million barrels a day to 89.99 million barrels a day.

    Recently, demand for crude oil in the countries outside the OECD was upwardly revised by 0.16 million barrels a day. The changes were made amid Chinaís high consumption of oil triggered by the stable economic recovery after the virus-induced crisis.

    OPEC foresees that in 2021, global demand for hydrocarbon may advance by 5.9 barrels a day to 96.89 million barrels a day. This is 0.35 million barrels lower than in the previous month. Representatives of the oil cartel emphasize that the current situation reflects uncertainties over the pandemicís impact on transportation fuel in OECD countries in the first half of 2021. This, in turn, poses pressure on future demand for oil and other commodities.

    According to preliminary data, in October 2020, total OECD commercial oil stocks dropped by 46.3 million barrels a day to 3.145 billion. At the same time, crude oil reserves declined by 21.5 million barrels a day whereas stocks of crude oil products slumped by 24.8 million barrels a day. In November, commercial oil stocks in the US slid by 22.6 million barrels a day to 1.354 trillion barrels. As a result, oil inventories jumped by 3.6 million barrels a day whereas stockpiles of oil products fell by 26.2 million barrels on a monthly basis.

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    Default Morgan Stanley sees Tesla's impressive growth potential

    Morgan Stanley sees Tesla's impressive growth potential





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    According to Morgan Stanley's analyst Adam Jonas, Tesla, the brainchild of billionaire Elon Musk, will soon come into the spotlight as a multifaceted corporation. In addition to car production, the company is making some headway in other emerging areas. Moreover, the services provided by Tesla are expected to be more expensive than electric-vehicle manufacturing.

    Jonas believes that Tesla shares can be compared to those of such tech giants as Apple, Roku, and others. "To only value Tesla on car sales alone ignores the multiple businesses embedded within the company", the analyst notes. These include such innovations as driver-assistance software, energy for households, insurance, as well as Internet access to hard-to-reach areas.

    Next year, Tesla plans to deliver about half a million cars to the global market. This implies a 36% jump over the levels logged in 2020, experts emphasize. Wall Street analysts estimate the companyís revenue will grow 26% in 2020 and then accelerate further in 2021. However, its earnings are anticipated to taper off in 2022.

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    Default North Korea cracks down on forex transactions

    North Korea cracks down on forex transactions





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    The US dollar could have to deal with another bitter rival. North Korea has teamed up with Iran and Russia to forge ahead with the de-dollarization campaign. It seems that Iran and Russia alone have not been able to undermine the US dollarís reign.

    The North Korean authorities are making every effort to reinforce the national currency, the North Korean won. According to the new policy, the government decided to ban the use of foreign currencies, including the US dollar and the Chinese yuan. The South Korean intelligence found evidence that an influential shady trader who supervised most informal marketplaces in Pyongyang was arrested by a North Korean security agency and executed. Besides, all so-called free markets in North Korea are barred from exchanging dollars.

    The reason behind the state ban on foreign currencies could be a depreciation of the national currency. In the fall 2020, North Koreaís Supreme Leader Kim Jong-un permitted enterprises and peasants to sell up to 70% of their goods and produce in the free market. As a result of this directive, the country revealed some traces of the market economy. To the discontent of the authorities, the Koreans took a keen interest in commerce. So, the government tightened control over the robust trade to prevent a crash of the North Korean won.

    Analysts reckon that such a crackdown on foreign currency exchange is doomed to failure. People are willing to save up as much money in foreign currencies as possible as they want to wait out until the authorities eventually soften restrictions.

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    Default Crypto market cap tops $1 trillion

    Crypto market cap tops $1 trillion





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    On the back of the stellar rally, the total market value of all cryptocurrencies smashed through the milestone mark of $1 trillion for the first time ever. The crypto market owes such a staggering growth to bitcoin. As of early January, the number one digital currency skyrocketed more than 900% since March 2020. So, other virtual currencies followed suit. The crypto king is viewed as the catalyst for the whole crypto marketís boom. Bitcoin accounts for nearly 69% of the total market capitalization. The most popular digital currency closed the first trading week of January with a 30.4% gain. Other popular altcoins also hit record highs.

    Mulling over ongoing developments, experts point out that market conditions reveal tremendous investorsí interest in cryptocurrencies which have become an attractive investment alternative to the safe haven gold. Nevertheless, the crypto market has not retained its capitalization at historic highs for long. Due to a large retracement of bitcoin, the market cap shrank by over $200 billion and tumbled below $1 trillion. Although most analysts paint a rosy picture of the crypto market, some experts warn that bitcoin could sink as low as $14,000 per token.

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    Default ECB sticks to growth projections despite new lockdowns

    ECB sticks to growth projections despite new lockdowns





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    Most European analysts have come to terms with a grim outlook for the local economy in 2021. However, there are those who remain optimistic, hoping for a bright future.

    European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde is one of those who are not ready to give up. The regulator is sticking to its growth projections against all the odds. In December, the bank estimated a 3.9% gross domestic product rate for 2021.

    "I think our last projections in December are still very clearly plausible," the head of the ECB said.

    Christine Lagarde is confident that the forecast still stands even despite new coronavirus restrictions across Europe. Notably, at the end of last year, many European governments such as Germany, France, Spain, Portugal, the Netherlands, and Austria announced new tough lockdowns until February.

    Lagarde underlined that most of the current restrictions had already been contained in projected figures. "What would be a concern would be that after the end of March, those member states still need to have lockdown measures and if, for instance, vaccination programs were slowed down," she added. In this case, the initial forecast can be revised downwards.

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    Default Oil prices hit multi-month highs

    Oil prices hit multi-month highs




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    Amid an ever-growing number of global challenges, investors have shifted their attention from turbulence in the oil market to other important issues. Just more than a year ago, oil news was dominating the headlines. Today, this topic is almost off the radar. Actually, this turned out to be good for the black liquid. Being out of the spotlight, oil managed to reach new yearly highs. At one point, Brent oil futures for March jumped above 57 dollars per barrel on the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE). This level was last seen on February 24, 2020. Several factors have contributed to the oilís growth. In particular, a rapid plunge in the US dollar against all other majors supported crude prices. An extended downtrend of the greenback has fueled oilís rally. What is more, according to the American Petroleum Institute, US oil inventories dropped by 5.82 million barrels in early January. The data exceeded the forecast of 2.7 million barrels. However, experts warn that there are still certain risks for the oil market. Thus, oil producers may want to ramp up production amid falling supply and higher crude prices.

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    Visa to launch new program for crypto banking




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    This February brought a bunch of good news for the crypto market. First, Elon Muskís Tesla revealed its plans to acquire $1.5 billion in bitcoin. Then, Visa announced the rollout of a new service that will allow Visa bank clients to buy and sell cryptocurrencies. The provider of the world's most widely-used credit cards is planning to launch a new software program later this year. The pilot program of application programming interfaces (APIs) will enable Visa users to buy digital currencies. The payment system has already reached an agreement with banks on the program integration. The main feature of the new program is the option of cryptocurrency withdrawals to digital wallets. For instance, PayPal does not permit its users to transfer their crypto assets outside of the platform. Cryptocurrencies will be held at Anchorage, the first digital asset bank in the US that was granted approval from the federal authorities. Another digital bank First Boulevard will pilot the API platform. Visa has already had successful cooperation with crypto projects by issuing credit cards for them. In the spring of 2020, the card giant filed a patent application to create a digital currency based on blockchain technology.

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    Bitcoin hits $1 trillion market cap



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    Currently, crypto enthusiasts, who have been considered for long airy-fairy and non-pragmatic investors, are experiencing their finest hour. The crypto market is showing a meteoric rise. Thus, crypto tradersí profit has also soared.

    At some point, there are many reasons for a record rise, but none of them can be called fundamental. The flagship coin skyrocketed only thanks to a few tweets from large market players, reports that some banks are ready to start working with cryptocurrency, and a growing appetite for riskier assets. Yet, this was enough for bitcoin to hit the level of $51,000 per coin.

    The entire crypto market has been gripped by euphoria. The jump in the value of bitcoin has also facilitated the rally of other cryptocurrencies. Naturally, their growth is incomparable to bitcoin but the top ten virtual assets also managed to gain ground. The question that is on everybodyís mind: whether bitcoin will reach $100,000. Many experts are betting on it as the probability is quite high.

    Notably, bitcoin began its dazzling rally early this year. In January, the cryptocurrency broke through an important psychological level of $40,000. It easily approached 48,000. Soon after, it soared once again amid the decision of Tesla, the manufacturer of electric cars, to invest $1.5 billion in bitcoin.

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    Default Monetary policy of easy money sends public debt snowballing

    Monetary policy of easy money sends public debt snowballing




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    The pandemic-induced crisis magnified the global public debt by $24 trillion throughout 2020. So, the debt of all countries swelled to the all-time high of $281 trillion that represents 355% of the global GDP.

    Last year, governments accumulated debts to a greater degree than they did during the global financial crisis of 2008/09. Unfortunately, they are still running up massive debts. Experts at the Institute of International Finance (IIF) in Washington warn that the global public debt is set to snowball further this year. It is projected to soar by another $10 trillion in 2021.

    The global debt comprises indebtedness of all households, companies, lending institutions, and governments in all countries. In other words, everyone is theoretically included in the list of borrowers. The COVID-19 pandemic is to blame for a rapid increase of leveraged funds in the global economy. The pandemic-driven crisis forced influential central banks to adjust their monetary policies for the new economic conditions, experts at IIF pinpoint the reasons. On the back of record low interest rates, large-scale stimulus measures, and urgent need for cash amid tough restrictions, both individuals and firms rushed to apply for easy loans. The other side of the coin is that a lot of countries are heavily indebted nowadays.

    According to the research by the IIF analysts, governments around the world had to borrow almost $12 trillion to provide their domestic economies with financial aid. The overall debt of international companies measures $5.4 trillion. Banks have got into debt of $3.9 trillion. Households have been burdened with the debt of $2.6 trillion. Experts say that Europe accounts for the highest public debt as it has been the worst stricken by the pandemic. Among emerging markets, analysts point out China, Turkey, South Korea, and the United Arab Emirates as the countries with the most substantial national debt. Besides, Russia and Peru have the biggest corporate debts.

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    Default Biden to spend long time dealing with unemployment

    Biden to spend long time dealing with unemployment




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    US President Joe Biden will have to take a lot of efforts to combat unemployment. The fact is that the lionís share of ordinary people have to apply for unemployment benefits.

    Although at the end of the previous year, the US labor market situation was somehow improving, new restrictive measures imposed in various states have slowed down the recovery. Problems in this sector will surely affect the whole economy. The services and entertainment sectors are the most damaged ones. Businesses still have to obey the social distancing requirements. Judging by other aspects, economists suppose that the White House administration will be able to push the countryís economy to the pre-crisis levels quite fast.

    Financial aid provided by the US government and the Federal Reserve has positively influenced economic health. Notably, the additional inflow of $1.9 trillion has also contributed to the economic revival. According to the forecasts, in 2021, the US GDP may jump by 7.4% showing a record rise since 1983. Even in this case, the US labor market will hardly recover fully.

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