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    Thread: Forex news from InstaForex

    1. #2241
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      Japan January Core Machine Orders Plunge 5.4%

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      The total value of core machine orders in Japan dropped a seasonally adjusted 5.4 percent in January, the Cabinet Office said on Wednesday - coming in at 822.3 billion yen.

      That missed expectations for a decline of 1.5 percent following the downwardly revised 0.3 percent fall in December (originally -0.1 percent).

      On a yearly basis, core machine orders sank 2.9 percent - again shy of expectations for a fall of 2.1 percent following the 0.9 percent gain in the previous month.

      Manufacturing orders fell 1.9 percent on month and 7.5 percent on year, while non-manufacturing orders tumbled 8.0 percent on month and added 1.0 percent on year.

      Government orders rose 2.7 percent on month and 6.2 percent on year, while orders from overseas plummeted 18.1 percent on month and 22.7 percent on year and orders through agencies fell 1.3 percent on month and gained 6.5 percent on year.

      The total value of machinery orders received by 280 manufacturers operating in Japan tumbled 7.9 percent on month.

      Also on Wednesday, the Bank of Japan said that producer prices in Japan were up 0.2 percent on month in February. That exceeded expectations for an increase of 0.1 percent following the 0.6 percent decline in January.

      On a yearly basis, producer prices climbed 0.8 percent - again exceeding expectations for a gain of 0.7 percent and up from 0.6 percent in the previous month.

      Export prices were up 0.6 percent on month and down 1.7 percent on year in February, the bank said, while import prices gained 1.1 percent on month and fell 0.7 percent on year.

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    2. #2242
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      hen is May's resignation and what is the Bank of England's opinion?

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      The pound continues to be the most dynamic asset of the foreign exchange market. Moreover, now traders are preparing for the growth of currency fluctuations before the next stages of Brexit. So, it is unlikely that anyone expected the British MPs to support Theresa May's deal on Tuesday. Today, few expect that the Parliament will decide to leave the European Union without a deal. The third round of voting is still on Thursday. The question of whether to extend Article 50 will be considered, and it seems very likely that there is no alternative to this solution.

      It is peculiar what the MPs expect after postponing the deadline for the exit. European officials have clearly expressed their position: there will be no more concessions - neither on the Irish back-stop, nor on any other issues. Many hope that, faced with such a defeat, England will reject the idea of withdrawing from the union or hold a repeated referendum.

      By the way, Theresa May even created the prerequisites for this. Here's how she commented on the disastrous vote on Tuesday:

      "The European Union will want to know why we want to postpone the deadline. The House will have to answer this question: do we want to suspend the operation of Article 50, to hold a second referendum, or to conclude a deal different from the current one".

      Despite May's next fiasco, ther sterling was able to stay afloat and did not sink to the bottom. After a short fall, it remained above $1.30. It seems that market participants expect to get more time, even if it has to prepare an exit without a deal.

      However, the question regarding the British prime minister's ability to provide for the country's exit conditions, under which it will retain access to the single European market and customs union, is again a big question. Therefore, in the coming days, the general political uncertainty may be aggravated by the possibility, but real, resignation of Theresa May. In this regard, investors will look to selling the GBPUSD pair.

      Bank of England Position

      The Bank of England ordered financial companies to accumulate excess liquidity and launched a mechanism for mutual exchange of currencies to provide access to foreign currency if the need arises. A very prudent step, and precisely for this reason, members of a committee of the Bank of England made it clear that they could vote for lower rates if the country exited the EU without a deal. Thus, they intend to give the economy an opportunity to cope with the crisis.

      The official position of the central bank is that the rates can not only decrease, but also rise with the rigid performance of Brexit. However, a more likely scenario, according to Mark Carney, would be a decline. He also warned that a "hard divorce" with the EU would have a strong inflationary impact due to the potential collapse of the sterling.

      Artificial Intelligence Opinion
      Investors are now hoping and betting quotes for the pound, a scenario of prolongation of Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty, while they underestimate the risk of a "hard" Brexit. According to forecasts of a hedge fund created by former JPMorgan traders and using artificial intelligence, the pound is waiting for a deep fall due to an exit without a deal. According to the base scenario of traders, the sterling will first collapse and then begin to recover.

      Britain will withdraw from the EU without a "default" deal, since "neither side will be able to agree on something," the fund representatives wrote.

      "The longer the government postpones its decision, the more hope for the possibility of holding another referendum will increase among market players, reinforcing the view that Brexit can be canceled," the forecast also says.

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    3. #2243
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      Australia House Price Index Sinks 2.4% In Q4

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      House prices in Australia were down 2.4 percent on quarter in the fourth quarter of 2018, the Australian Bureau of Statistics said on Tuesday - coming in at A$6.677 trillion.

      That missed expectations for a fall of 2.0 percent following the 1.5 percent decline in the three months prior.

      The capital city residential property price indexes fell in Sydney (-3.7 percent), Melbourne (-2.4 percent), Brisbane (-1.1 percent), Perth (-1.0 percent), Canberra (-0.2 percent) and Darwin (-0.6 percent) and rose in Hobart (+0.7 percent) and Adelaide (+0.1 percent) on a quarterly basis.

      On a yearly basis, house prices sank 5.1 percent - again missing forecasts for a drop of 5.0 percent following the 1.9 percent contraction in the previous three months.

      Annually, residential property prices fell in Sydney (-7.8 percent), Melbourne (-6.4 percent), Darwin (-3.5 percent), Perth (-2.5 percent) and Brisbane (-0.3 percent) and rose in Hobart (+9.6 percent), Canberra (+1.8 percent) and Adelaide (+1.5 percent).

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    4. #2244
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      Euro Mixed Ahead Of German PPI

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      Destatis will release German producer prices for February at 3:00 am ET Wednesday.

      Ahead of the data, the euro traded mixed against its major counterparts. While the euro held steady against the greenback and the yen, it rose against the pound. Against the franc, it fell.

      The euro was worth 126.61 against the yen, 1.1342 against the franc, 0.8560 against the pound and 1.1347 against the greenback as of 2:55 am ET.

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    5. #2245
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      Australia Jobless Rate Sinks To 4.9% In February

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      The unemployment rate in Australia came in at a seasonally adjusted 4.9 percent in February, the Australian Bureau of Statistics said on Thursday - beneath expectations for 5.0 percent, which would have been unchanged from the January reading.

      The Australian economy added 4,600 jobs in February, shy of forecasts for the addition of 15,000 jobs following the gain of 38,300 jobs in the previous month.

      The participation rate was 65.6 percent, below expectations for 65.7 - which would have been unchanged from a month prior.

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    7. #2246
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      Japan Manufacturing PMI Unchanged At 48.9 In March - Nikkei

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      The manufacturing sector in Japan continued to contract at a steady pace, the latest survey from Nikkei revealed on Friday with a manufacturing PMI score of 48.9.

      That's unchanged from the February reading and it remains beneath the boom-or-bust line of 50 that separates expansion from contraction.

      Individually, there were further production cutbacks amid weaker new order inflows, while business confidence remained below the long-term average.

      "Further struggles for Japanese manufacturers were apparent at the end of Q1, with latest flash PMI data showing a sustained downturn. Slack demand from domestic and international markets prompted the sharpest cutback in output volumes for almost three years," said IHS Economist Joe Hayes.

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